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The two reactors of Ignalina NPP produced almost 80% of Lithuania’s electricity. So, that country was even able to sell electricity to its neighbors.
Besides, the Lithuanians spent nothing on the plant. They got it after the collapse of the USSR. As you may know, the major part of the cost of electricity produced by a nuclear power plant is the capital expenses on its construction. Ingnalina has so far worked safely and efficiently. A few years ago NIKIET and some western companies helped the plant to significantly improve its safety and control systems. So, I can say that it is a safe plant with highly-qualified personnel. I think that Ignalina is vital for the Lithuanians. If it is shut down they will lose a huge profit they might get for many years more.
Even if they are granted a gas, masout or coal plant (their neighbor Poland has lots of coal) they will still have to pay for the fuel. 60% of the cost of electricity produced by a gas plant is the cost of fuel. As you may know, gas prices are steadily growing.
The Europeans promise the Lithuanians to build a western-type NPP, something like Novovoronezh, Balakovo and Kalinin NPP, but they will be able to do it no earlier than 2015. And if they build just one reactor Lithuania will face serious energy crisis when it is stopped. So, I think that it is better for Lithuania to attain the extension of Ignalina’s life especially as Ignalina’s resources have not been fully exhausted yet.
I think that the EU’s demand that Lithuania should close Ignalina is political. Their special commission has tested the plant and has admitted that it is safe.
I support the Lithuanians in their initiative to hold a referendum on the fate of Ignalina NPP and I wish them success.